Here's the official explanation (disclaimer?) regarding using NUMATS test scores.
From the
2011 NUMATS Guide to
Understanding EXPLORE® Results
EXPLORE test scores can provide direction for
educators in considering the need for curricular modification for an individual
or for groups of students. Test data from above-level testing provide more
specific information than data from grade-level tests because the ceiling
effect has been minimized. Standardized test data are informative when
considering curricular modifications in a school setting; however, results from
one test cannot be considered a comprehensive assessment of a child’s aptitude.
There are other factors that need to be considered when making a decision regarding
curriculum modification. These factors include motivation, maturity,
availability of resources, etc. Often, further evaluation is needed to
determine specific modifications.
It's good to remember that NUMATS test scores are only one piece of the puzzle, but an important piece backed up by years and years of research.
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